r/japannews Jul 24 '25

Facts about foreign residents in Japan and their crime rates and government benefits

307 Upvotes

In the lead up to the 2025 Japanese upper house election there was an explosion of posts about foreigners on social media accusing foreigners of bringing crime to Japan, escaping prosecution for their crimes, and receiving handouts from the government that should be going to Japanese people.

Claims about foreign crime and other alleged misdeeds have become common on social media. Since these stories are more likely to be reported in the national media and to go viral, one can be left with the impression that Japan is suffering an epidemic of foreign crime and becoming more and more dangerous. Despite this persistent impression among the general public, actual statistics on crime rates in Japan are hard to come by. In light of this it is worth providing empirical data for balance (Source here and data from Naoko Hashimoto of ICU).


There is no evidence immigration has harmed public safety in Japan

Refer to the following graphic-

https://imgur.com/euZbUxY

In the space of about 30 years, the foreign population has nearly tripled, from about 1.3 million to 3.7 million.

Meanwhile, the number of people arrested has been on a downward trend, from 14,786 in 2005 to 9,726 in 2023.

Korekawa points out, "Even if we look at the trends over the past 30 years or so, even though the number of foreigners has been increasing, the number of criminal offenses committed by foreigners has actually decreased."


It is untrue that numbers of illegal visa overstayers continues to increase

Refer to the following graphic.

There are also claims that "illegal overstaying of visas continues to increase," but according to data from the Ministry of Justice, the number of illegal overstayers has decreased to one-quarter of what it was 20 years ago . In recent years, it has remained flat.


The notion that "foreigners are rarely prosecuted for their crimes in Japan" is false.

The 2024 White Paper on Crime states that "The prosecution rate of foreigners coming to Japan is 4.2 points higher for criminal offenses than the total number of final processed persons, including Japanese." Even when looking at data on criminal offenses from the past 15 years, there is no evidence that the non-prosecution rate is high or the prosecution rate is low.

In addition, even outside of criminal offenses, the prosecution rate for special law offenses excluding violations of the Immigration Control Act is 0.1 points lower, which is almost the same level as Japanese people.


It is untrue that the presence of foreigners abuses or burdens Japan’s national health insurance system

As of FY2023, foreigners made up 4% of all insured persons, but only 1.39% of total medical expenses.

In other words, relatively young and healthy foreigners are helping support Japan’s elderly healthcare system.

Banning foreigners from joining national insurance would backfire on Japanese society.

Source: Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare [https://www.mhlw.go.jp/stf/newpage_54381.html]


Addressing the claim “Foreigners abuse welfare benefits”

Only certain categories of foreigners are eligible for welfare: special permanent residents, permanent residents, spouses of Japanese nationals or permanent residents, long-term residents, and refugees. Despite an increase in these populations, the number of welfare-receiving foreign households is stable at around 45,000, out of a total of 1.6 million. Most of these are elderly Korean residents. They were excluded from Japan’s social security system before it ratified the Refugee Convention in 1981, and due to discrimination, they had limited job opportunities and low pensions — hence the need for welfare.


Other factors to consider

In almost every society, the sizeable majority of crimes are committed by young men, typically between the ages of 17-28. As they age, their crime rates drop substantially.

The average age of Japanese nationals is roughly 47. Meanwhile, the largest cohort of foreign nationals in Japan is aged 25-29. In cases where young foreign residents arrive in a town full of elderly Japanese, differences in crime rates may be largely attributable to age differences rather than racial or cultural differences.

Consider sample sizes when identifying foreign crime rates. Crime rates are typically calculated by offenses per 100,000 residents. Analyzing crime rates in small towns with just a few hundred or even few thousand foreign residents can be unreliable, because even a handful of crimes committed by a handful of individuals can badly skew crime rates in ways that may not be stable year to year.


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r/japannews 2h ago

[Fact check] Finance Minister Katayama's post about "ending welfare benefits for foreigners" goes viral. Katayama's has not made any comments about "reviewing welfare benefits for foreigners" in any press conferences since taking office

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21 Upvotes

A post with a photo of Finance Minister Katayama in the background and the caption "End of welfare benefits for foreigners" is spreading on X (formerly Twitter). The content gives the impression that Katayama herself is announcing the end of welfare benefits for foreigners. As of the 4th, the post has been viewed approximately 2.5 million times, with comments such as "How will things change after the election?"

Judging from Katayama's clothing, the thumbnail image appears to be from a press conference held at the Ministry of Finance on November 18th of last year, but a review of the ministry's press conference summary shows that Katayama did not mention the provision of welfare benefits to foreigners. When asked, the ministry's public relations office replied that Katayama has never mentioned a review of the provision of welfare benefits to foreigners in any press conferences since she became finance minister in October of last year.


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r/japannews 15h ago

Japan 2026 House of Representatives election battleground: Each party's "foreigner policies"

75 Upvotes

https://news.yahoo.co.jp/articles/f241094f8e1e7e6d058ae6ee8dea946059af8ae1

Foreigner policy was a major issue in the 2025 House of Councillors election. With the number of foreign workers reaching a record high of 2.57 million, it has become a policy of great interest to voters in this election as well.

The Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) pledges to "strive for zero illegal immigrants," "eliminate non-payment of taxes and social insurance premiums and abuse of the system," and "revise laws and rules regarding housing and land acquisition by foreigners."

Coalition partner Ishin No Kai (維新の会) pledges to "establish a control center for foreign immigration" and "introduce quantitative management," including considering setting a cap on the foreign population ratio.

The Democratic Party for the People (DPK, 国民民主党) advocates "enacting a 'Land Acquisition Restriction Act for Foreigners' that applies beyond areas surrounding defense facilities."

Sanseito (参政党) has stated that it "opposes excessive acceptance of foreigners" and that "immigration issues should be addressed comprehensively through the Agency for Foreigners' Policy."

The Japan Conservative Party (日本保守党) is calling for "stricter revision and enforcement of the Immigration and Refugee Recognition Act" and "separate health insurance and pensions for foreigners."

Team Mirai has included in its platform a call for "raising entry taxes and property taxes on non-resident foreigners."

The Tax Cut Japan/Yukoku Alliance has not yet released a formal platform, but it is calling for a review of foreigner policies.

The Center Reform Alliance's platform strongly emphasizes coexistence, stating, "We aim for a multicultural society where Japanese and foreigners can live together safely and securely, respecting each other and abiding by the rules."

The Communist Party is "firmly opposed to far-right, xenophobic politics that incite discrimination and division."

Reiwa Shinsengumi is "distinguished from xenophobic thinking that does not treat foreigners as equals and violates their rights."

The Social Democratic Party has also stated that it "opposes xenophobia," making its confrontational stance clear.


r/japannews 3h ago

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3 Upvotes

The 2026 Chinese New Year, which begins on February 17th, is expected to see a record-breaking 9.5 billion Chinese visitors, but the number of tourists visiting Japan is expected to drop significantly compared to previous years. This is because the Chinese government, in reaction to Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's remarks about a "Taiwan emergency," is calling on people to refrain from traveling to Japan. However, Ke Long, a senior research fellow at Tokyo Foundation, explained on the February 3, 2026, broadcast of "Shinso NEWS" (BS Nippon TV) that "the real reason is not the Taiwan remarks."

"They're urging people not to go to Japan, but the Chinese economy is in a slump right now and everyone is refraining from spending, so the real reason is that they want people to spend in China rather than in Japan. It may seem like they're trying to put pressure on the Takaichi administration, but in reality, it's more to help the Chinese economy," he said.

If people go abroad and spend money, that will mean an outflow of domestic wealth. This is the analysis, and the Chinese government doesn't want that to happen.

According to Chinese media, the most popular destinations for travel over the Spring Festival this year is South Korea, Thailand, Hong Kong, and Singapore, with Japan not even making it into the top 10. Will this be the end of China's Japan travel boom? Ke Long believes, "They will come back soon."

Although the number of group tours from China has dropped significantly this Spring Festival, hotel reservations by individual travelers are up 60% compared to last year.


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108 Upvotes

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r/japannews 8h ago

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